Nationals 2014 Topic Analysis: By Analogy and Meta-Analysis

Currently, NATO’s involvement in Ukraine is verbal and structural support (see this Factsheet on NATO-Ukraine relations before the crisis and information on the NUC, or NATO-Ukraine Commission). NATO could take a more direct role in the conflict as it has in other armed conflicts and disputes over sovereignty/independence.


One way to imagine what NATO’s actions and the results of those actions would be is to reason by analogy. This means drawing on a similar situation by illustrating how the two are similar, and therefore you can draw conclusions about the Ukraine from empirical evidence.


One analogy could be to a past NATO peacekeeping operation. Look to the Current Operations and Missions( perhaps NATO in Kosovo and the conflict between Sovereignty vs. self-rule) or Terminated Operations and Missions (perhaps NATO in Bosnia and Herzegovina)


You can also look to other current civil wars and armed conflict where foreign actors have intervened.


Don’t forget other peacekeeping bodies, such as the UN, could have acted in a similar situation and provide and analogous scenario.


While singular instances are helpful to draw analogies, you want to back up your claims with Meta-analysis, or research/data that looks at a broad spectrum of NATO or peacekeeping activities and their success or failures. Here are some examples of research and scholarship that would be helpful to this point.


Analysis of the Different Models of Peace Support Operations and Forms of NATO Involvement, as a Part of a New Security Architecture

Dr David BAKRADZE 2001

Strategic Summary 2012

Megan Gleason-Roberts and Alischa Kugel

Twenty-first-century Peace Operations

William J. Durch, US Institute of Peace Press, 2006

Understanding NATO’s Sustainability: The Limits of Institutionalist Theory

Anand Menon, Jennifer Welsh 2011



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